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Start Expand Discontinue Decisions - New Project 5

Decision Making
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Start Expand Discontinue Decisions

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Example 1 Eliminate Operations
National Express
National Express, an international delivery service, is considering eliminating operations in Eastern Europe. If the company dropped the East European market, it would lose revenues of 1,000,000 annually. Management assigns costs of 1,200,000 (800,000 variable and 400,000 fixed) to the East European market. Therefore, the East European market has an apparent annual loss of  200,000 per year (1,000,000 revenue minus  1,200,000 costs). Careful cost analysis reveals that if East European operations were dropped, the reduction in costs would be only  800,000 of variable and  250,000 of fixed costs. The remaining 150,000 of fixed costs were general fixed costs the company allocated to the East European market. These costs would continue to be incurred and would not be saved by shutting down the East European market.
Differential Analysis
Keep
Eliminate
Differential
Revenues
1,000,000
0
(1,000,000)
Variable Costs
800,000
0
800,000
Contribution margin
200,000
0
(200,000)
Direct Fixed Costs
250,000
0
250,000
Allocated Fixed Costs
150,000
150,000
0
Total Fixed Costs
400,000
150,000
250,000
Profit (Loss)
(200,000)
(150,000)
50,000
Advantage close


50,000
Elimination of the East European market is justified according to this analysis. By eliminating this market, National Express would reduce revenues by 1,000,000 and would reduce costs by 1,500,000 (800,000 + 250,000), resulting in a  50,000 benefit of closing the operations (or a  50,000 differential loss by keeping the operations open)
Example 2 Expanding Operations
Super Burgers
Super Burgers a top shelf burger chain is thinking about adding an additional restaurant at a new location. They plan on operating the restaurant for five years and require a 10% return.

They have gathered the following information which is presented below and in the table below:
Sales
6,000 burgers per month @ $10.00  $60,000 per month
8,000 drinks @ $2.00 $16,000 per month
4,000 fries @ $2.50 $10,000 per month

Variable expense
Direct materials
Burgers $5.00 $30,000  per month
Buns $1.00 $6,000 per month
Drinks $1.00 $8,000 per month
Fries.$50 x 4,000 $2,000 per month
Condiments .$50 x 6,000 $3,000 per month

Fixed Costs
Salaries & wages 20,000 per month
Fringe benefits @ 20% 4,000 per month
Rent  $5,000 month
Utilities $1,500 per month
Insurance $1000 per month
Marketing $1,000 per month

Initial Investment
Working Capital
Minimum Cash $5,000
Inventories $20,000
Equipment: Cost of grills, fryers, refrigerators, point-of-sale (POS) system, etc. $100,000

Alternatives:
Open the burger restaurant.
Do not open the burger restaurant (baseline scenario).
Contribution Margin Income Statement
Initial
Month
Year
Sales


Burgers 6,000 @ $10
$60,000
$720,000
Drinks 8,000 @ $2.00
16,000
192,000
Fries 4,000 @ $2.50
10,000
120,000
Total sales
86,000
1,032,000




Direct Materials


Burgers 6,000 @ $5.00
30,000
360,000
Buns 6,000 @ $1.00
6,000
72,000
Drinks 8,000 @ $1.00
8,000
96,000
Fries 4,000 @ $.50
2,000
24,000
Condiments 6,000 @ $.50
3,000
36,000
Total direct materials
49,000
588,000



Contribution margin
$37,000
$444,000




Fixed expenses


Salaries & wages
20,000
240,000
Fringe benefits @ 20%
4,000
48,000
Rent $5,000 / month
5,000
60,000
Utilities
1,500
18,000
Insurance
1,000
12,000
Marketing
1,000
12,000
Total fixed
32,500
390,000




Profit
$4,500
$54,000




Initial Investment

Working Capital

Minimum cash
5,000


Inventories
15,000


Total working capital
20,000


Equipment
100,000


Grills, fryers, refrigerators, point of sales, etc.







Total initial investment
140,000






Break even sales

$906,486
Margin safety


$125,514

This decision is a no brainer ! Open the new restaurant.

Using Capital Budgeting and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis:
Net Present Value (NPV) :  $64,702
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) : 26.8 %
Profitability Index (PI) : 1.46
Payback -  3 years


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